Sprawl and Traffic Congestion

Transportation corridors have affected the location of Virginia development at least since 1607. Proposals for economic development in Appalachia still start with "we need better roads," and the Coalfields Expressway in the Appalachian Plateau from Pound in Wise County to Interstate 77 at Beckley, West Virginia is just the latest attempt to jump-start local growth by reducing the costs of transportation. Nearly all residents of coal country are in favor of new roads - try driving though those narrow valleys someday, and see if your perspective doesn't begin to mesh with that of the residents.

But are costs actually reduced by roads, or just shifted? The Coalfields Expressway won't be built for free. Innovative financing may push the costs into future budgets, but the taxpayers of Virginia far from Buchanan, Dickenson, and Wise counties will be paying for that transportation improvement. The local wildlife will also be affected - greater convenience for people usually involves impacts on the natural environment.

Investments in transportation are not neutral - they steer growth towards an area. Failing to build roads or interchanges, or failing to maintain/existing ones, will deter growth. It's no secret that housing and transportation are intimately connected - though the government agencies that deal with one often fail to coordinate effectively with the other.

Still, in the Housing Act passed waaaay back in 1961, the federal government assumed a role in financing mass transit so state and local governments could purchase buses, trolleys and trains. In theory, mass transit would enable low-income residents without a car to have access to jobs in the area. That requires mass transit managers to offer reasonable connections from the various housing developments to the employment centers. Since 1961, the character of many downtowns have shifted dramatically - and while the jobs may have moved to the suburbs, not all of the bus systems have been able to expand.

Chesterfield County has openly opposed the efforts of the Richmond-based bus system to offer service in the county. The opposition was blased in part upon the rivalry between the two jurisdictions, but illustrated more clearly the prejudices based on the income level and the racial makeup of inner-city vs. suburban residents.

Transportation is a hotly-debated issue across the state, and the predominant issue (along with schools) for local politics in Northern Virginia. The local business community (and the Washington Post newspaper in particular) constantly advocate greater investment in local transportation. Legislators in the region strongly supported increased funding for local (hey, all politics is local, right?) road improvements to be included as "priority projects," when the General Assembly's specifically directed funding for a six-year, $2.6 billion statewide transportation package in the 2000 session.

In Northern Virginia, as in Southwestern Virginia, new roads are also recognized as stimuli for new development. In the suburban counties of Loudoun, Prince William, and Fauquier, however, strong opposition has developed against proposed roads such as the Western Transportation Corridor. These are perceived as "developer highways" to stimulate new housing in rural areas, helping farmers convert fields to subdivisions - but not easing the clogged commutes of current residents. Talking points from the Voters To Stop Sprawl in Prince William County include:

The Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance highlights that more roads (and transit) are required where the people are actually living, not where the planners want them to live. An April 12, 2004 "NVTA Aliance Alert" put it clearly:

“Another Alexandria” Beyond the Beltway in Just Three Years

It’s taken the City of Alexandria nearly three centuries to achieve a population of 128,000.

The latest U.S Census figures show that the increase in populations of Fairfax (+30,656), Loudoun (+52,147), Prince William (+44,511) and Stafford Counties (+18,575) total 145,000 people in just three years. Most of Fairfax’s growth has been outside the Capital Beltway.

During that same time period, the District of Columbia lost 8,053 residents, Arlington County lost 1,580 residents and the City of Alexandria added only 640 residents. (Apparently, “smart growth” is having more people move into other people’s backyards.)

Yet regional transportation policy and most area elected officials continue to promote the notion that more miles of rail leading into the area’s central jurisdictions (with declining populations), not more roads and bridges connecting and serving suburban communities (with growing populations), should be the area’s top transportation priority.

Ignoring the realities of where and how people choose to live and travel doesn’t change those realities. It only produces more congestion.

The Urban Mobility Study of the Texas Transportation Institute has examined the traffic congestion in the Washington, DC-Maryland-Virginia region. In 1999, that region had expanded to 1,000 square miles, with a population density of 3,465 people/square mile. The mobility report shows that traffic has increased far faster than the region's population in the last two decades:

1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Population 2,700 2,780 2,810 2,860 2,920 2,980 3,040 3,080 3,100 3,280 3,285 3,400 3,445 3,455 3,460 3,465
Daily VMT 44,960 45,445 48,870 53,585 58,265 60,590 61,475 62,980 64,325 65,070 68,295 70,185 73,915 77,630 81,700 81,620
Freeway VMT 16,085 16,150 18,065 19,885 22,405 22,910 23,600 25,020 25,080 25,650 27,985 29,320 31,765 32,460 33,045 33,340

VMT=Vehicle Miles Travelled
Population and VMT are in thousands. In 1992, the regional population of 2,700,000 people drove a total of 44,960,000 miles - and of that total, 16,085,000 vehicle miles were driven on freeways

To highlight the point that population growth was not the only reason for increasing traffic congestion, consider these changes between 1982-1997:

Population increase 28%
Daily VMT increase 82%
Freeway VMT increase 107%

Primary source for the Texas Transportation Institute statistics: the Federal Highway Administration's Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) database (see also Highway Statistics 1997).

The cost of traffic congestion is not just a decrease in the quality of life, leading to "road rage." There's an actual pocketbook cost, increased taxes for current residents to provide the infrastructure to support new suburban residents. The costs of sprawl are somewhat hidden, and highly debatable. There is, after all, a reason that people choose the live in the suburbs. Typically a family can get a larger house, with more yard space for children to play, by moving away from the job center and commuting to work. Some commuters even enjoy the solo experience of driving in their cars, referring to "road zen" for the hours they get to be undisturbed, in total control of the radio, air conditioning, etc.

Links


Sprawl in Virginia
Transportation Patterns in Virginia
Virginia Places